Followed the death PMMZ, a golden opportunity has arisen for PIA of Eritrea to reclaim his stature as a statesman in horn of Africa in particular and Africa in General. Post Meles Ethiopia will be unable to pose a major threat to PIA’s Eritrea. It is a matter of time before the current Ethiopian leadership seeks a solution to the border dispute between the two countries in order to sort out its ever growing unrests in all corners of the country. PIA now has to think beyond the border dispute and play imperative role to the stability of the horn Africa in particular and Africa in general by contributing his share in controlling the expansion of Islamic fundamentalism in the region. He needs to extrapolate his positive role in the Sudan to Somalia and other parts of Africa. He has the capacity to do stellar job in mediating regional conflicts. All he has to do is adjust his attitude toward the west and get out the self imposed isolation. PIA’s line of thinking has been: by engaging himself in constant quarrel with western powers, he thinks he could avoid the pressure being exerted from western nations to democratize Eritrea- is an ill advised strategy. In fact, the policy of self isolation that he has been practicing for the last 10 years is threatening the very existence of his regime. The damage on Eritrea’s image and economical wellbeing is colossal.
The death of PMMZ has paved the way for PIA to reclaim his significant role within IGAD and AU. PIA has a choice to make now – to either align himself with the western world in the fight against Islamic fundamentalism which is spreading its tentacles in the horn or to confine himself in the paranoid state of mind that he put himself in for the last ten years. PIA views anything that comes from the west with distorted prism; he thinks they are coming to get him! It is high time for PIA to understand that US administration is not Eritrea’s sworn enemy. US being the sole superpower in this planet, for Eritrea improving its relationship with this global power house is unquestionably paramount.
Iran and the Arab world are not Eritrea’s strategic allies. The Arab world’s dream to convert Red Sea into an “Arab Lake” is still alive and kicking. Our Tigrinya brothers in particular and Ethiopians in general are our indispensible allies to protect the region from the looming Arab/Islam domination. Unless Eritrea and Ethiopia pooled their resources together, they will be unable to face the well funded fundamentalists from taking over the region. It is an imminent threat that requires a well defined strategy. Ethiopia and Eritrea, instead of putting themselves in perpetual animosity over barren land, they need to align their resources to defend themselves from this dangerous expansion fundamentalism. The policy that both countries adopting is simply put: Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD)
PIA administration, US & Western nations have a lot to gain by working together to tame the rising fundamentalist movement which is threatening to turn the horn into the Afghanistan of Africa.
For starters, PIA’s regime needs to condemn Alshebab and align himself with IGAD, AU, and the UN in supporting the transitional government of Somalia and encourage this transitional body for all inclusive political engarment in Somalia to achieve a lasting solution. PIA’s regime should stop using the Somalia issue as point of difference with the rest of the world rather it should use the Somalian situation to re-establish its diplomatic relations with the west and UN. PIA’s regime standoff with US administration is unsustainable and it is taking its toll on Eritrea. No one is going to award PIA for involving himself in constant charade against US administration, on the contrary with open and laud involvement in tit-for tat with the sole superpower is hurting Eritrea in economy, diplomacy and so on. The collateral damage from PIA’s unwise and careless locking horns with US admin and the EU is tarnishing Eritrea’s image. It is time that PIA moves in to fill the vacuum left by Meles and help Eritrea improve its stature in the global scene or finishes the last leg of his political career as being irrelevant! Those are the two choices that PIA is facing!!